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Plant Physiology 134:3-10 (2004) © 2004 American Society of Plant Biologists Production, Identity Preservation, and Labeling in a Marketplace with Genetically Modified and Non-Genetically Modified Foods1C.F. Curtis Distinguished Professor of Agriculture and Professor of Economics, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50011
As the demand for food and fiber grew during the past 300 years, because of the Earth's expanding human population and rising per capita incomes, society met this demand first by increasing the land area under cultivation and later by improving crops so that their yields were higher. Before 1900, land was abundant almost everywhere, and in the United States, new lands were brought into production as the frontier moved across the country between 1700 and 1900. In addition, the great crop exchange between different continents permitted high-yielding crops like potatoes (Solanum tuberosum) to be grown in Europe and rice (Oryza sativa) in the United States. Improvement was by selection of the fittest in the new environment. By 1900, the frontier was closed in the United States, and this increased the urgency of finding new methods for increasing crop yields.
Genetic crop improvement or plant breeding is a 20th century phenomenon. Gene exchange occurs only in sexually compatible species. Most of the genetic variation is created through crossing. Selection is conducted by measuring plant characteristics such as grain yields, and the genes that underlie these characteristics are unknown. Conventional breeding does not require knowledge at the DNA level (Lamkey, 2002 In the United States, plant breeding for almost all crops was undertaken first in the public sector by the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the State Agricultural Experiment Stations, and then, wherever large markets for seed existed and genetic improvements could be protected, the private sector emerged as a major source of crop improvement. In self-pollinated crops like small grains and soybeans (Glycine max), protection of crop improvements largely did not exist before the early 1970s, when plant variety protection legislation was enacted. In the case of cross-pollinated crops such as corn (Zea mays) and sorghum (Sorghum bicolor), hybridization discovered early in the 20th century proved a type of natural protection to developers/discoverers of genetic improvement because hybrids cannot reproduce themselves.
Hybrid corn, however, was not a commercial success in the United States until after the first commercial double cross was developed in 1920. More than an additional decade was required before superior double-cross varieties were generally available to farmers in the Midwest (Griliches, 1960
For the developing countries, the production of modern crop varieties started in earnest in the 1950s. In the mid-1960s, scientist developed modern varieties of rice and wheat that were subsequently released to farmers in Latin America and Asia. The success of these modern varieties has been called the "Green Revolution." The new rice and wheat varieties were rapidly adopted in tropical and subtropical regions with good irrigation systems or reliable rainfall. These modern varieties were associated with the first two major international agricultural research centersthe International Center for Wheat and Maize Improvement in Mexico and the International Rice Research Institute in the Philippines.
Evenson and Gollin (2003
Evenson and Gollin (2003
The 1990s brought us the "Gene Revolution" in crop improvement. Genetic modification of this era is a relatively new and complex process that involves insertion of a gene, often from a different species, into a plant or animal. The process is sometimes referred to as genetic engineering and genetic modification, and the crops are referred to as genetically modified (GM) organisms (GMOs), or just GM crops. Since the beginning of farming, farmers and others have been genetically modifying plants to enhance the quantity of desirable attributes. However, since the early 1990s, the term "genetic modification" has been associated with a much narrower set of techniques that use recombinant DNA or gene splicing technology to facilitate the transfer of genes across species. (In 1973, Cohen and Boyer discovered the basic technique for recombinant DNA, which launched a new field of genetic engineering. The Cohen-Boyer patent on gene-splicing technology was awarded in 1980 to Stanford University and the University of California [Office of Technology Assessment 1989]. They built on the 1953 discovery by Watson and Crick of the structure of DNA and of the suggestion about how it replicates.) Foods made using this type of GM material have become known commonly as GM foods.
Major GM crop varieties became available to U.S. farmers starting in the mid-1990s with insectresistant (bT) cotton (Gossypium hirsutum), herbicidetolerant, e.g. "Round-Up Ready" (RR), cotton, soybean, and corn. Later, insect-resistant (e.g. bT) corn became available. Insect-resistant technology uses Bacillus thuringiensis, which encodes proteins that are toxic to plant-feeding insects, and RR technology uses plants that have been encoded with a protein, the enzyme mEPSPS, which makes the plant tolerant to glyphosate, the active ingredient in Roundup herbicide. When Round-Up is applied to a RR crop variety, every plant is killed, except for the RR plants. Herbicide-tolerant soybeans are now planted upon roughly 70% of the U.S. soybean acreage, and herbicide-tolerant cotton is planted on roughly 55% of cotton acreage (See Fig. 1). Bt cotton is planted on roughly 38% of U.S. cotton acreage, but insectresistant and herbicide-tolerant corn are planted on less than 20% of U.S. corn acreage (U.S. Department of Agriculture, 2003
Bt technology has been effective in reducing insecticide application rates dramatically in cotton in the southern United States (Falck-Zepeda et al., 2000
The application of GM technology to crop production has been hailed by some as the greatest invention since the beginning of farming, e.g. by the biotech industry (Council for Biotechnology Education), but international environmental groups such as Greenpeace, Friends of the Earth, and Action Aid counter that GM technology has not been proven safe for humans or the environment, that it benefits only big business and not the consumers, and that it creates "Frankenfoods" (e.g. see Greenpeace International, 2003
In the United States, truthful labeling has been used historically to provide consumers with information on calories, nutrients, and food ingredients, under regulatory guidelines. But the federal government only requires explicit labeling of GM food if it has distinctive characteristics relative to the non-GM version (Caswell, 2000
An effective labeling policy also requires effective segregation or an "identity preservation system." To the extent that there is a market for non-GM crops, buyers of crops would be expected to specify in their purchase contracts some limit on GM content and/or precise prescriptions regarding production/marketing/handling processes (Wilson and Dahl, 2002 "Tolerances" are an important issue in identity preservation and segregation. Tolerance refers to the maximum impurity level for GM content that is tolerated in a product that still carries the non-GM label. There are two levels where tolerances apply: one is defined by regulatory agencies such as the Food and Drug Administration, and the other is commercial tolerances. Individual firms can and seem likely to adopt different tolerances, subject to any regulation. Moreover, different countries are likely to have different tolerance levels and this increases the risks and costs of identity preservation.
Dual market channels could develop privately without regulated tolerance levels. However, this system would require growers to declare GM content at the point of first delivery and be subject to their own uncertainty about GM content. This is commonly referred to as "GM Declaration" and has been an important element of the evolution of markets for GM grains (see Harl for a discussion of the Opportunities and Problems in Agricultural Biotechnology, 2001
Major risks arise in segregation and identity preservation. Growers face three sources of risk: (a) "volunteer or feral plants" in subsequent crops, (b) pollen drift, and (c) on-farm adventitious commingling (Wilson and Dahl, 2002
Although private sector handlers routinely segregate and blend grains as a primary function of their business, new risks arise when handling GM grains due to the added risk of adventitious commingling. (Wilson and Dahl [2002
In a recent study, Tegene et al. (2003 In a marketing system with identity preservation or segregation, end-users and buyers would need to express their needs and aversions to GM in contracts with tolerances. Ultimately, it is incumbent on those buyers wanting to limit GM content in non-GM shipments to specify limits/restrictions in their purchase contracts. Those who are not averse to GM would not have to do anything special. Grower declarations on grain shipped is, however, a critical first-step in this process. Hence, it is important that growers know the purity of the varieties they plant or at least have the capability of knowing. This provides a wealth of information that needs to be conveyed to the marketing system. To the extent that farmers do not have perfect control of their production process, e.g. use purchased seed that may not be 100% non-GM, grow crops in the open-air where windblown contamination can occur rather than in greenhouses, and produce both GM and non-GM crops, which leads to adventitious commingling, they may be reluctant to declare that their delivery of grain is GM-free.
Information is frequently scarce about new agricultural technologies, and GM technology is no exception. Advances in science enable new technologies, and advances in technology increase the demand for science. Advancing science and technology are, however, uncertain and costly activities (Huffman and Evenson, 1993
Advances in communication and information networks make possible rapid worldwide dissemination of public scientific discoveries and other information. Private information is the source of asymmetric information, and it leads to an informational advantage to the party possessing it (Mohol, 1997
Many agents must or choose to rely on information provided by individuals or groups that are affected by their decisions. Sometimes, these agents do not know the alternative available and have no control over the information provided to them by interested parties. These interested parties may distort or conceal information, thereby manipulating the decision-making process. For example, consumers rely on information and advertising distributed by food companies, the biotechnology industry, and environmental groups that seem likely to be tainted by self-interest. For example, communications by Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth opposing GM foods may exaggerate the potential harm to the environment and distract from other important issues, and agricultural biotech companies may underemphasize potential future environmental harm of GM crops and overemphasize the production cost saving (Council for Biotechnology Information, 2001
Greenpeace, Friends of the Earth, and other international NGOs are interest groups. Individuals who join such groups are self-selected and have a common interest or goal focused on the environment and on achieving the group's goal, which is seen as a public good by its members. Hence, free-riding by one member on the efforts of other members is a major organization problem (Sandler, 1992
If information provided by interest groups is verifiable at a low cost, then agents can be unsophisticated, having little or no idea of the available options, of issues bearing on the decision or preferences of the interested party. He or she must, however, be able to process the information received. Under these conditions, fully informed decisions are possible (Huffman and Tegene, 2002
Using data generated from a project that employs a hybrid methodology (one built on sample survey methods, statistical experimental design, and experimental economics), Huffman et al. (2003 In the Huffman et al. experiments, two types of labels were used; one was a "standard food" label that read, for example, "32 ozs. of vegetable oil," and the other was a label that also indicated that the product was "made using genetic modification (GM)." They defined three perspectives on genetic modification: the biotech industry perspective, e.g. Monsanto and Syngenta; the environmental group perspective, e.g. Greenpeace; and independent, third-party perspective, e.g. of well-informed scientists and professions at the time of the experiments who had no significant financial interest in agricultural biotechnology. Information under these three perspectives was organized into five categories: general information, scientific impact, human impact, financial impact, and environmental impact. The three perspectives were grouped into six packets: the industry perspective, the environmental group perspective, the industry and environmental perspective, the industry perspective and third party, the environmental group and third party, and all three types of information. The two labeling treatments and six information treatments were randomly assigned to experimental units of 13 to 16 individuals with two replications. The type of laboratory auction was a random nth price, in which the winner was chosen as follows. If there were 16 participants and the random n was 5, then the four highest bidders would pay the 5th highest price. This type of auction reduces the frequency of insincere bidding, because all participants have a non-zero probability of winning the auction. To eliminate problems caused by participants having a negatively sloped demand for a particular food item, the institutional structure of the auction was set such that no one individual would purchase more than one unit of any product. Furthermore, we told the participants that they would at most be the winner of one unit of an auctioned commodity, meaning that they would have to pay at the close of the experiments for at most one unit of each auctioned commodity.
In these bidding experiments, 172 participants discounted GM-labeled foods by an average of 14% relative to their standard-labeled counterpart (Huffman et al., 2003
Participants in these auctions revealed that verifiable information is a moderating force on consumers' willingness to pay for foods that might be GM in a market with conflicting information, i.e. where the biotech industry perspective is injected, where the environmental group perspective is injected, or where the biotech industry and environmental group perspectives are injected before the independent, third-party perspective is injected. They found a positive, although small per lab participant value for verifiable information on GM foods. Extending these results to cover annual sales of U.S. processed foods; their results suggested that verifiable information on genetic modification has a large annual social value to U.S. consumersroughly several billion dollars annually (Rousu et al., 2003a
We might argue that only low-risk agricultural technologies should be employed by farmers and that consumers' have the right to know whether their foods are genetically modified. Producers, handlers, and processors could be made responsible for guaranteeing the purity and safety of food crops. This could be accomplished by enacting new federal consumer-protection legislation. However, this would be very expensive, given the polarity of the interest-group interests. Alternatively, agents in a market economy can always introduce new commodities and information without government regulation. Effective labeling, however, requires segregation or an identity preservation system, and we have shown that significant costs and risks exist with these systems. For example, farmers who currently produce GM and non-GM crops and handlers who handle both GM and non-GM versions of a commodity have an incentive to commingle the cheaper GM with the higher valued non-GM. The "bad" commodity could drive out the "good." However, in Europe, when GM foods were labeled, the international NGOs demonstrated heavily against the stores where they were sold, consumer demand dropped significantly, and grocery store managers removed the GM-labeled products from store shelves. This is an example of the "good" driving out the "bad," but not an example of labeling providing consumers with a broader set of choices. The key question is whether the market will support such information, which would be costly and supplied by producers, handlers, and (or) processors. Given that providing GM information is currently voluntary in the United States and that consumers have revealed that the non-GM or GM-free is the superior product, a voluntary signaling equilibrium would be one where non-GM or GM-free is the commodity that would be certified. Currently, this is not happening, except to the extent that Certified Organic cannot use genetic engineering in the production process, and consumers can purchase Certified Organic foods. Consumers and growers must make consumption and production decisions and rely frequently on interested parties to provide at least part of the information for these decisions. For example the Food and Drug Administration and Environmental Protection Agency have limited resources for conducting independent research on the effects of new biotech products. We could legislate that producers or suppliers knowingly giving false declaration is a crime, but proving falsification to an independent third-party, e.g. a court, is frequently difficult. Hence, principals and agents frequently enter into contracts that are not enforceable by courts or by a third party. This requires that the contracts, whether written or oral, be incentive compatible, i.e. it is in the interest of both parties to carry out their terms of the contract without going to court, and furthermore monitoring by either party is socially wasteful! In contrast, with the current U.S. food system, the introduction of independent, third-party information on genetic modification has the potential of being social welfare improving. However, it would most likely have to be financed by the federal government but operated as an independent institution. The primary objective of this institution would be to verify claims from the biotech industry and environmental groups and supply objective information to the public. This approach could force interested parties to reveal more information than would otherwise be possible. I suggest that this type of institution building would be considered "social welfare improving" for the United States and provide international public goods to much of the rest of the world. Received September 16, 2003; returned for revision October 7, 2003; accepted October 7, 2003.
www.plantphysiol.org/cgi/doi/10.1104/pp.103.033423.
1 This work was supported by the Cooperative State Research, Education, and Extension Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture (under agreement 00521009617), by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (under agreement 433AEL880125), and by the Iowa Agriculture and Home Economics Experiment Station.
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